Proba B






Final


There is a last consideration; The Blog "fits". You may want to introduce yourself to at least the 2 last sections. [ Blog: "fits" > Sum Up, and Lastly ]
link
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3 exceptional and unlikely occurrences, all happened in 3 months and 3 weeks time:
a)
After Valentine's Day, Berry was faithful to me.
How do you turn a faithful girl into an unfaithful one? By doing something extra special. She has a close person who went into the hospital for something rare. I suspect Mr. Particular was watching me through this time. Only 3 weeks after, Mr. Particular has a close person who went to the hospital for something rare. Could it be a way to catch sympathy?

b)
Sapphy, the very same situation happened to you, as with Berry. I made a remarkable gesture and expression about my feelings, to show you my dedication; I let go of the Sisters, Lazi, (and perhaps Eclair). I felt you were satisfied about it. 1 month after, we could present a like question. How do you turn a faithful girl into an unfaithful one?
Soon, another miracle rare medical event springs up in his life. Doesn't it seem a tad convenient?
This worked so well, out of an obligation to support him, you can't even show me you care about me anymore. A friendship, should almost never restrain you from giving anything to the man you love. Yet, you're not free to open up to someone who loves you, at anytime you want.
Aside from this, we continue with numbers.

[3/4/23: The 'guess' numbers for a and b have been further detailed with real numbers described in "7%" - 3 extra optional papers at the end.]

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In sum, I would guess, the probability of 3 very rare conditions
happening in 3 months & 3 weeks, is about 2-7% or less. To be safe, I'll use 10%.

.009 x .46 x .20 x .05 x .10 = .00000414

We calculate it:

4.3 million x .00000414 = 17.802 = 17 persons in North America

The Ratio is:
4,300,000 : 17

(This counts all the people who were born with him in the same year. Added info is, he traveled between North American countries, and the exact time he got Clucky and the progression of the Syndrome, who can precisely say? Lastly, it counts "fits".)

As a fair and better guess, instead I would even say "fits" is 5% probable.

For this percent, the Ratio is:
4.3 million people : 8 people.

We can see it's very improbable. In all North America, to be one of 8 there is only a minute chance; Especially, when we consider all circumstances. Out of 4 million people, the number is still almost close to zero people getting it. If it's improbable, it's not likely to occur.
As a result, I believe this medical symptom he has located on his head is not legitimate. It doesn't seem valid. I suspect it's not true.

0.000414% or less, of getting the syndrome is so rare, most likely it wouldn't happen.







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-- Nov 2, 2022, 5pm PDT
~ Update: June 25, 2023 | Dec 6, 2022